Trip Handicapping Horse Racing System
When I first heard about horse racing systems back my first few times to the track I felt like I was listening to a whole other language. Win, place, show, Trifecta, Exacta, Superfecta were bandied about like they were going out of style and I had no clue what they were talking about. Well a few trips and that was ironed out, but then I realized I had just scratched the surface! Then came words like exotics, trip handicapping, daily double and the like. My head was spinning. To be fair though, most things that people are passionate about there is a whole language unto itself. It is part of what makes these activities so much fun. The thing is, I kept hearing the same things out of long time veterans of the track. They were always making comments about how a certain horse had a perfect trip, or a different horse had such a terrible trip it had no chance to win. It was from here that my first foray into a trip handicapping horse racing system was born.
So, you are likely similar to me when reading this and wondering what the heck a “trip” is when it comes to horse racing. At first I thought that it literally meant that a horse tripped and fell or at least stumbled while running and therefore was having a hard time ending up in the money. But that wouldn’t explain a “perfect trip” that was talked about often. So to be clear, when we are talking about a “trip” a horse makes during a race it literally means what route did it take during the race. In other words, the “trip” is the exact path that the horse takes while running the race which has a determination on the outcome. And once I realized this I began to see things. A horse nearly falls down out of the gate and somehow rallies to finish 3rd. Or perhaps a horse is given the inside rail at will and sees no competition to find a way to its “perfect trip” and therefore finished better in the race that would otherwise be expected.
So what are common things to look for when attempting to trip handicap. First things I am looking at is whether they had a slow start that either wasn’t their fault or was their fault but likely won’t be a common occurrence. Did the horse stumble out of the gate. Did she nearly buck her rider off just prior to the start of the race. Did another horse bump the horse and knock it off stride at some point during the race (this often happens at the start). When coming around the home stretch did a horse want to make a serious move inside, but was shut off by a bevy of other horses. These are all things that likely won’t happen in every race and therefore we should expect that horse to see a better “trip” the next race. We can use this information to make a calculated guess that it will finish better than the last race.
So how do we put this into action? First off we obviously have to be watching the race with our own two eyes to get this information. You won’t get this information in your BRIS past performances (at best you will get a “bumped break” or similar comment but I wouldn’t count on too much). This happens by either being at the track or finding a way to watch the race on the television. TVG is a great way to get this information if you have cable or satellite TV. Or perhaps your track has a daily or weekly race recap on your local station. I know my local track has one on late at night on a local channel after each race day. Once you have this information it helps to write down the name of the horse and a quick note as to what happened and why you like the horse. Perhaps something like: tripped out of gate and fell to last, but managed to finish 3rd by a neck charging hard. Or similar. The next time this horse is in a race you will be waiting to see if it is a legit contender and luckily you likely will be getting better odds than you otherwise should. The general public has almost no chance of actually having this information at their fingertips and won’t be able to put it into use.
I have found this trip handicapping horse racing system to be especially helpful when talking about young horses. A young horse almost always wants to be in the lead. They have a hard time passing horses late in general and are notorious for wanting the lead. If you find a horse that had a bad start, yet still found a way to be passing horses late and finished respectably you likely have an underlay on your hands and over time this will proved to be profitable. And with horse racing betting this is really all we are looking for!